CEBEG Workshop

Speaker: Chengwei Liu (PhD candidate, Judge Business School)

Title: 'SKILL VERSUS LUCK: WHEN ARE PEOPLE MORE LIKELY TO MISTAKE GOOD LUCK FOR SKILL IN EVALUATING HIGH PERFORMANCES?'

Venue: The Meade Room (1st floor of the Marshall Library)

Date: Friday 5th February Time: 12.30-14.00

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Speaker's bio:

Chengwei is currently a doctoral researcher at Judge Business School, University of Cambridge. His research is funded by the Taiwan Government, Cambridge Overseas Trust and the Fitzwilliam College Senior Scholarship. Chengwei's PhD thesis centres on the notion, and popular usage, of luck. Specifically, it addresses three questions: (1) When are people more likely to mistake luck for skill?, (2) What are the behavioural consequences of this cognitive tendency, particularly for performance evaluation, vicarious learning, and imitation?, and (3) What, if any, use is this cognitive tendency from an evolutionary perspective, and what risks does it entail? He has experiences in research methods such as statistical analysis, case studies, behavioural experiment, and agent-based simulation modelling. His principal research interests are fourfold: (1) the intellectual history of chance, serendipity and luck; (2) evolutionary theory; (3) behavioural decision-making; and (4) the philosophy of science.