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Faculty of Economics

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Anderson, E. and Holmberg, P.

Price Instability in Multi-Unit Auctions

CWPE1538

Abstract: We consider a procurement auction, where each supplier has private costs and submits a stepped supply function. We solve for a Bayesian Nash equilibrium and show that the equilibrium has a price instability in the sense that a minor change in a supplier’s cost sometimes result in a major change in the market price. In wholesale electricity markets, we predict that the bid price of the most expensive production unit can change by 1-10% due to price instability. The price instability is reduced when suppliers have more steps in their supply functions for a given production technology. In the limit, as the number of steps increases and the cost uncertainty decreases, the Bayesian equilibrium converges to a pure-strategy NE without price instability, the Supply Function Equilibrium (SFE).

Keywords: Multi-unit auctions, indivisible unit, price instability, Bayesian Nash equilibria, supply function equilibria, convergence of Nash equilibria, wholesale electricity markets

JEL Codes: C62 C72 D43 D44 L94

PDF: https://www.econ.cam.ac.uk/research-files/repec/cam/pdf/cwpe1538.pdf

EPRG Paper Link: 1521

Open Access Link: https://doi.org/10.17863/CAM.5796