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Second Phase National Allocation Plans of the EU ETS - A Comparative Analysis

LAST UPDATED 23rd Jan 2006
(click here to download the Excel file with tables)
Recent updates to tables

PROJECT INFO
Combining efforts of an international team of experts, the available Second Phase National Allocation Plans are evaluated against detailed criteria.

Our objective is to facilitate easy evaluation and comparison of Second Phase NAPs. The information and data are extracted from official 
sources and documents, and presented in the tables below.

The scope of analysis also includes calculations of the volume of allowances allocated to a standard sample power plant (existing and new entrant) 
under each Second Phase NAPs.

DISCLAIMER: The tables in this file are the result of an ongoing joint effort of an international group of researchers and experts. Whilst caution has
been taken on the accuracy of information contained inside tables, it should be emphasised that this is a work in progress.

CITATION: Please refer to working paper "Comparison of National Allocation Plans for the Period 2008-2012" by Neuhoff et al. which 
contains much of the core analysis and policy implications arising from this comparative exercise.

To comment, contribute or for more information please contact: euets@econ.cam.ac.uk

CONTRIBUTORS
Karsten Neuhoff, University of Cambridge; Markus Åhman, IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute; Regina Betz, University of New South Wales;
Johanna Cludius, University of New South Wales; Federico Ferrario, University of Cambridge; Kristina Holmgren, Swedish Environmental Research Institute;
Gabriella Pal, Corvinus University Hungary; Michael Grubb, University of Cambridge; Felix Matthes, Institute for Applied Ecology, Germany;
Karoline Rogge, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research; Misato Sato, University of Cambridge; Joachim Schleich,
Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research;
Jos Sijm, ECN, The Netherlands; Andreas Tuerk, University of Graz and Joanneum Resarch;
Claudia Kettner, University of Graz; Neil Walker, University College Dublin.

                                                                      
Likely NAP IIs - analysis following CEC decisions on Wed Nov 29th
The EU Commission announced on Wed 29th Nov, decisions on ten second phase NAPs submitted by Member States. In the table 
presented below (and in the Excel file) we apply the methodology of the commission, as presented in their decision on the first 10 NAPs, 
to all member states. If the same methodology is be applied across all Member States, then this would result in a 200 Mt/year reduction.

Likely NAP II after CEC Decision

NAP II - VOLUME (Summary)

2008-2012 Emissions Projections and 2005 Verified Emissions 

NAP II - Projections and Verified Emissions.jpg

NAP II - ALLOCATION METHODOLOGY

Power Sector

Allocation methodology - Power sector


Non Power Sector

Allocation methodology - Non Power

NAP II - AUCTIONING

Auctioning

NAP II - OTHER FEATURES

Ohter features

Quantification of free-allocation:

To illustrate the technology-distortions resulting from free-allocation, we calculate for each Member State, the allocation level (or "subsidy") that 
will be recieved by sample coal and gas power stations.  Both allocation to new and existing plants are estimated. The table below illustrates that
in all Member States, fossil fuel generators receive high subsidies in terms of free new entrant allocation.

Note: We assume plans run for 6000h. We also assume 200MW coal power station and Combined Cycle Gas Turbine with efficiencies of 33%
(existing coal), 45% (existing CCGT gas), 43% (new coal) and 55% (existing CCGT gas).

NAP II - Power Plant.jpg