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Faculty of Economics

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Crossley, T. and Low, H.

Job loss, credit constraints and consumption growth

Review of Economics and Statistics

(2013)

Abstract: We use direct evidence on credit constraints to study their importance for household consumption growth and for welfare. We distentangle the direct effect on consumption growth of a currently binding credit constraint from the indirect effect of a potentially binding credit constraint which generates consumption risk. Our data is focused on job losers. We find that less than 5% of job losers experience a binding credit constraint, but for those that do, they experience significant welfare losses, and consumption growth is 24% higher than for the rest of the population. However, even among those who are currently unconstrained and who are able to borrow if needed, consumption responds to transitory income.

Keywords: Job loss, Credit constraints, Consumption

JEL Codes: D12, D91, J64

Author links:

Publisher's Link: http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/REST_a_00417#.U3NzRkoxZFE

Keynes Fund Project(s):
Individual Response to Risk Over the Business Cycle (JHLE)  



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