The U.S. Presidential election of 2016 caught many by surprise. Almost all polls and pundits predicted a Democratic victory but, Donald Trump won the overwhelming majority of electoral votes (304 out of 538), whilst losing the popular vote by as much as 2.9 million. This misalignment has occurred only four times out of 48 elections held since 1828.
Professor Giancarlo Corsetti, Joao B Duarte (Nova School of Business and Economics) and Samuel Mann (IMF) have published an article for VOXeu titled "