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Faculty of Economics

Media Mentions & Appearances | Published on Thursday, 27 July, 2023

Research into forecasting conflict by Professor Christopher Rauh has been featured in the weekend edition of the National News. Conflict Forecast, a project that uses artificial intelligence to predict where outbreaks of violence will occur in the world, noticed a surge in discussion of military activity in Russian media in April.

Media Mentions & Appearances | Published on Tuesday, 21 February, 2023

A new study co-authored by Emeritus Professor Andrew Harvey produces good forecasts of epidemics before new cases or deaths peak.

Media Mentions & Appearances | Published on Monday, 23 May, 2022

Dr. Christopher Rauh spoke to the NOVAFRICA Sustainable Development Talks series about his research into conflict prediction.

Economics News | Published on Thursday, 21 April, 2022

The new paper “Face Value: Trait Impressions, Performance Characteristics, and Market Outcomes for Financial Analysts” is being published in a top accounting journal, the Journal of Accounting Research.

Economics News | Published on Thursday, 3 June, 2021

The study published in Harvard Data Science Review, focuses on the spread of epidemics and specifically the current COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic, but the models are applicable to many other disciplines as well.

Economics News | Published on Thursday, 25 March, 2021

Forecasting a phenomenon like armed conflict up to a year in advance is difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low level dispute.

Media Mentions & Appearances | Published on Wednesday, 19 October, 2016

Why we fail to prevent civil wars: A forecaster's perspective, is a joint paper between Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh. Voxeu spoke to them about their research.