Forecasting a phenomenon like armed conflict up to a year in advance is difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low level dispute.
Economics News | Published on Thursday, 25 March, 2021
A University of Cambridge academic is proposing a new model for forecasting conflict, which could predict when outbreaks of violence might escalate and spill into armed conflict.
Forecasting a phenomenon like armed conflict up to a year in advance is difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low level dispute.
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