Professor Chris Rauh has been interviewed by the video news channel Macro Hive, which provides global macroeconomic & financial market analysis.
In a wide ranging interview, he explains the hard problem of predicting conflicts and his research into using AI and news sources to predict future conflict zones.
The new model for forecasting conflict, which predicts outbreaks of violence and subsequent escalations into armed conflict has been developed with funding by the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO).
Forecasting when an armed conflict is likely to break out is notoriously difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low-level dispute.
La Vanguardia newspaper has published an article that reports on Dr. Christopher Rauh's new model for forecasting conflict.
Forecasting a phenomenon like armed conflict up to a year in advance is difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low level dispute.
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