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Faculty of Economics

Dynamic early warning of conflict 

The Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office now has access to a forecast and costing model which uses machine learning and newspaper text to predict outbreaks and intensity of internal armed conflict.

Published on - Monday 20th June 2022

Tags:

Conflict

Models

Risk Estimation



Predicting when and where conflict breaks out 

Funding by the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office has allowed development of a new model for forecasting conflict, led by Assistant Professor Christopher Rauh.

Published on - Thursday 5th May 2022

Tags:

Conflict

Models

Prediction

Risk Estimation



Predicting Conflict - Sustainable Development Talks 

Dr. Christopher Rauh spoke to the NOVAFRICA Sustainable Development Talks series about his research into conflict prediction. Read More>>

Published on - Monday 23rd May 2022

Tags:

Conflict

Forecasting

Models

Risk Estimation



Predicting When Conflict Breaks Out: A Hard Problem 

Dr Christopher Rauh is proposing a new model for forecasting conflict, which could predict when outbreaks of violence might escalate and spill into armed conflict.

Published on - Thursday 25th March 2021

Tags:

Conflict

Prediction

Models

Risk Estimation



Can You Predict the Risk of Armed Conflict in the World? 

La Vanguardia newspaper has published an article that reports on Dr. Christopher Rauh's new model for forecasting conflict. Read More>>

Published on - Friday 26th March 2021

Tags:

Conflict

Prediction

Models

Risk Estimation




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