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Cambridge Working Papers in Economics

Ma, S., Linton, O. and Gao, J. Estimation and Inference in Semiparametric Quantile Factor Models, CWPErem (2019)
Hong, Y., Linton, O. B., McCabe, B., Sun, J., Wang, S. Kolmogorov-Smirnov Type Testing for Structural Breaks: A New Adjusted-Range Based Self-Normalization Approach, CWPE2367 (2023)
Jian, L., Linton, O. B., Tang, H., Zhang, Y. Improving Estimation Efficiency via Regression-Adjustment in Covariate-Adaptive Randomizations with Imperfect Compliance, CWPE2366 (2023)
Pesaran, M. H., Yang, L. Trimmed Mean Group Estimation of Average Treatment Effects in Ultra Short T Panels under Correlated Heterogeneity, CWPE2364 (2023)
Johnsson, I., Pesaran, M. H., Yang, C. F. Structural Econometric Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number for Covid-19 Across U.S. States and Selected Countries, CWPE2360 (2023)
Pesaran, M. H., Yang, L. Heterogeneous Autoregressions in Short T Panel Data Models, CWPE2342 (2023)
Pesaran, M. H., Smith, R. P. The Role of Pricing Errors in Linear Asset Pricing Models with Strong, Semi-strong, and Latent Factors, CWPE2317 (2023)
Im, K S., Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y. Reflections on "Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels", CWPE2310 (2023)
Bachmair, K. The Effects of the LIBOR Scandal on Volatility and Liquidity in LIBOR Futures Markets, CWPE2303 (2023)
Chen, J., Li, D., Li, Y., Linton, O. B. Estimating Time-Varying Networks for High-Dimensional Time Series, CWPE2273 (2022)
Linton, O. B., Xu, E. Auditing the Auditors: An evaluation of the REF2021 Output Results, CWPE2266 (2022)
Ashby, M., Linton, O. B. Do consumption-based asset pricing models explain the dynamics of stock market returns?, CWPE2259 (2022)
Cheng, T., Dong, C., Gao, J., Linton, O. GMM Estimation for High–Dimensional Panel Data Models, CWPE2245 (2022)
Vogt, M., Walsh, C., Linton, O. CCE Estimation of High-Dimensional Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects, CWPE2242 (2022)
Gao, J., Linton, O., Peng, B. A Nonparametric Panel Model for Climate Data with Seasonal and Spatial Variation, CWPE2239 (2022)
Bhattacharya, D., Shvets, J. Inferring the Performance Diversity Trade-Off in University Admissions: Evidence from Cambridge, CWPE2238 (2022)
Linton, O. B., Tang, H., Wu, J. A Structural Dynamic Factor Model for Daily Global Stock Market Returns, CWPE2237 (2022)
Chudik, A., Pesaran, M. H., Rebucci, A. Social Distancing, Vaccination and Evolution of COVID-19 Transmission Rates in Europe, CWPE2230 (2022)
Gao, Z., Pesaran, M. H. Identification and Estimation of Categorical Random Coeficient Models, CWPE2228 (2022)
Cun, W., Pesaran, M. H. A Spatiotemporal Equilibrium Model of Migration and Housing Interlinkages, CWPE2225 (2022)
Nocera, A., Pesaran, M. H. Causal effects of the Fed's large-scale asset purchases on firms' capital structure, CWPE2224 (2022)
Pesaran, M. H., Pick, A., Timmermann, A. Forecasting with panel data: estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity, CWPE2219 (2022)
Bu, R., Li, D., Linton, O., Wang, H. Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data, CWPE2218 (2022)
Chudik, A., Pesaran, M. H. and Smith, R. P. Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis, CWPE2215 (2022)
Hafner, C. M., Linton, O. B. and Wang, L. Dynamic Autoregressive Liquidity (DArLiQ), CWPE2214 (2022)
Mohaddes, K., Ng, R. N. C., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Yang, J-C. Climate Change and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States, CWPE2205 (2022)
Menkveld, A., Dreber, A., Holzmeister, F., Huber, J., Johannesson, M., Kirchler, M., Neusüss, S., Razen, M., Weitzel, U., Linton, O. Non-Standard Errors, CWPE2182 (2021)
Ding, Y. Conditional Heteroskedasticity in the Volatility of Asset Returns, CWPE2179 (2021)
Pesaran, M. H. and Xie, Y. A Bias-Corrected CD Test for Error Cross-Sectional Dependence in Panel Data Models with Latent Factors, CWPE2158 (2021)
Laudati, D. and Pesaran, M. H. Identifying the Effects of Sanctions on the Iranian Economy using Newspaper Coverage, CWPE2155 (2021)
Li, Y-N., Chen, J. and Linton, O. Estimation of Common Factors for Microstructure Noise and Efficient Price in a High-frequency Dual Factor Model, CWPE2150 (2021)
Chung, D., Linton, O. and Whang Y-J. Consistent Testing for an Implication of Supermodular Dominance, CWPE2134 (2021)
Harvey, A. Score-Driven Time Series Models, CWPE2133 (2021)
Harvey, A. and Palumbo, D. Regime Switching Models for Directional and Linear Observations, CWPE2123 (2021)
Li, M. Z. and Linton, O. Robust Estimation of Integrated and Spot Volatility, CWPE2115 (2021)
Harvey, A. C. Time Series Modeling of Epidemics: Leading Indicators, Control Groups and Policy Assessment, CWPE2114 (2021)
Huang, W., Linton, O., Zhang, Z. A Unified Framework for Specification Tests of Continuous Treatment Effect Models, CWPE2113 (2021)
Ding, Y. Augmented Real-Time GARCH: A Joint Model for Returns, Volatility and Volatility of Volatility, CWPE2112 (2021)
Palumbo, D. Testing and Modelling Time Series with Time Varying Tails, CWPE2111 (2021)
Ahmed, R. and Pesaran, M. H. Regional Heterogeneity and U.S. Presidential Elections, CWPE2092 (2020)
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Rebucci, A. A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model, CWPE2088 (2020)
Dong, C., Gao, J., Linton, O., Peng, B. On Time Trend of COVID-19: A Panel Data Study, CWPE2065 (2020)
Escanciano, J C., Hoderlein, S., Lewbel, A., Linton, O., Srisuma, S. Nonparametric Euler Equation Identification and Estimation, CWPE2064 (2020)
Ge, S., Li, S. and Linton, O. A Dynamic Network of Arbitrage Characteristics, CWPE2060 (2020)
Linton, O. and Tang, H. Estimation of the Kronecker Covariance Model by Quadratic Form, CWPE2050 (2020)
Li, S. and Linton, O. When will the Covid-19 pandemic peak?, CWPE2025 (2020)
Anderson, G., Linton, O., Pittau, M G., Whang, Y-J., Zelli, R. On Unit Free Assessment of The Extent of Multilateral Distributional Variation, CWPE20123 (2020)
Lee, K., Linton, O., Whang, Y-J. Testing for Time Stochastic Dominance, CWPE20121 (2020)
Ding, Y. Diffusion Limits of Real-Time GARCH, CWPE20112 (2020)
Wu, R. and Weeks, M. A Semi-Parametric Bayesian Generalized Least Square Estimator, CWPE2011 (2020)
Connor, G., Li, S., Linton, O. A Dynamic Semiparametric Characteristics-based Model for Optimal Portfolio Selection, CWPE20103 (2020)
Pesaran, M. H. and Yang, C. F. Matching Theory and Evidence on Covid-19 using a Stochastic Network SIR Model, CWPE20102 (2020)
Christiansen, T. and Weeks, M. Distributional Aspects of Microcredit Expansions, CWPE20100 (2020)
Linton, O., Seo, M., Whang, Y-J. Testing Stochastic Dominance with Many Conditioning Variables, CWPE2004 (2020)
Onatski, A. and Wang, C. Spurious Factor Analysis, CWPE2003 (2020)
Harvey, A. C., Hurn, S., Thiele, S. Modeling directional (circular) time series, CWPE1971 (2019)
Kahn, M. E., Mohaddes, K., Ng, R. N. C., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Yang, J-C. Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis, CWPE1965 (2019)
Harvey, A. C. and Palumbo, D. Score-Driven Models for Realized Volatility, CWPE1950 (2019)
Boneva, L., Elliott, D., Kaminska, I., Linton, O., McLaren, N. and Morley, B. The Impact of Corporate QE on Liquidity: Evidence from the UK, CWPE1937 (2019)
Lee, L., Linton, O., Whang, Y-J. Quantilograms under Strong Dependence, CWPE1936 (2019)
Ai, C., Linton, O., Motegi, K., Zhang, Z. A Unified Framework for Efficient Estimation of General Treatment Models, CWPE1934 (2019)
Ma, S., Linton, O., Gao, J. Estimation and Inference in Semiparametric Quantile Factor Models, CWPE1933 (2019)
Cheng, T., Gao, J., Linton, O. Nonparametric Predictive Regressions for Stock Return Prediction, CWPE1932 (2019)
Koo, B., La Vecchia, D., Linton, O. Nonparametric Recovery of the Yield Curve Evolution from Cross-Section and Time Series Information, CWPE1916 (2019)
Harvey, A. C., Liao, Y. Dynamic Tobit models, CWPE1913 (2019)
Merrick Li, Z. and Linton, O. A ReMeDI for Microstructure Noise, CWPE1908 (2019)
Linton, O., Xiao, Z. Efficient Estimation of Nonparametric Regression in The Presence of Dynamic Heteroskedasticity, CWPE1907 (2019)
Linton, O., Shiu, J-L. Semiparametric Nonlinear Panel Data Models with Measurement Error, CWPE1906 (2019)
Bhattacharya, D., Dupas, P., Kanaya, S. Demand and Welfare Analysis in Discrete Choice Models with Social Interactions, CWPE1885 (2018)
Bhattacharya, D. Income Effects and Rationalizability in Multinomial Choice Models, CWPE1884 (2018)
Bhattacharya, D. The Empirical Content of Binary Choice Models, CWPE1883 (2018)
Lee, Y-Y., Bhattacharya, D. Applied Welfare Analysis for Discrete Choice with Interval-data on Income, CWPE1882 (2018)
Dong, C., Gao, J., Linton, O. High Dimensional Semiparametric Moment Restriction Models, CWPE1881 (2018)
Linton, O., Whang, Y-J., Yen, Y. The Lower Regression Function and Testing Expectation Dependence Dominance Hypotheses, CWPE1880 (2018)
Linton, O. and Wu, J. A Coupled Component GARCH Model for Intraday and Overnight Volatility, CWPE1879 (2018)
Hafner, C., Linton, O., Tang, H. Estimation of a Multiplicative Correlation Structure in the Large Dimensional Case , CWPE1878 (2018)
Hong, S-Y., Linton, O. Nonparametric estimation of infinite order regression and its application to the risk-return tradeoff, CWPE1877 (2018)
Chen, J., Li, D., Linton, O. A New Semiparametric Estimation Approach for Large Dynamic Covariance Matrices with Multiple Conditioning Variables, CWPE1876 (2018)
Chudik, A.,Pesaran, H., Mohaddes, K. Identifying Global and National Output and Fiscal Policy Shocks Using a GVAR, CWPE1874 (2018)
Corrado, L., Stengos, T., Weeks, M., Ege Yazgan, M. Robust Tests for Convergence Clubs, CWPE1873 (2018)
O'Neill, E., Weeks, M. Causal Tree Estimation of Heterogeneous Household Response to Time-Of-Use Electricity Pricing Schemes, CWPE1865 (2018)
Onatski, A. Asymptotics of the principal components estimator of large factor models with weak factors and i.i.d. Gaussian noise., CWPE1808 (2018)
Dharmawansa, P., Johnstone, I. M., and Onatski, A. Local Asymptotic Normality of the Spectrum of High-Dimensional Spiked F-Ratios, CWPE1807 (2018)
Johnstone, I. M. and Onatski, A. Testing in High-Dimensional Spiked Models, CWPE1806 (2018)
Onatski, A. and Wang, C. Extreme canonical correlations and high-dimensional cointegration analysis, CWPE1805 (2018)
Linton, O. and Mahmoodzadeh, S. Implications of High-Frequency Trading for Security Markets, CWPE1802 (2018)
Kanaya, S., Bhattacharya, D. Uniform Convergence of Smoothed Distribution Functions with an Application to Delta Method for the Lorenz Curve, CWPE1760 (2017)
Auld, T. and Linton, O. The Behaviour of Betting and Currency Markets on the Night of the EU Referendum, CWPE1750 (2017)
Harvey, A. C. and Thiele, S. Co-integration and Control: Assessing the Impact of Events Using Time Series Data, CWPE1731 (2017)
Boneva, L. and Linton, O. A Discrete Choice Model For Large Heterogeneous Panels with Interactive Fixed Effects with an Application to the Determinants of Corporate Bond Issuance, CWPE1703 (2017)
Doppelhofer, G., Moe Hansen, O-P. and and Weeks, M. Determinants of long-term economic growth redux: A Measurement Error Model Averaging (MEMA) approach, CWPE1702 (2017)
Pesaran, Hashem. and Johnsson. Ida. Double-question Survey Measures for the Analysis of Financial Bubbles and Crashes, CWPE1679 (2016)
Pesaran, H. and Yang, C. F. Econometric Analysis of Production Networks with Dominant Units , CWPE1678 (2016)
Chudik, A., and Kapetanios, G. and Pesaran, Hashem A One-Covariate at a Time, Multiple Testing Approach to Variable Selection in High-Dimensional Linear Regression Models, CWPE1677 (2016)
Robertson, D. and Tambakis, D. Long-Run Debt Ratios with Fiscal Fatigue, CWPE1674 (2016)
Linton, O. and Wu, J. A coupled component GARCH model for intraday and overnight volatility, CWPE1671 (2016)
Hafner, C. M. and Linton, O. Estimation of a Multiplicative Covariance Structure in the Large Dimensional Case, CWPE1664 (2016)
Mohaddes, K. and Pesaran, M. H. Oil Prices and the Global Economy: Is It Different This Time Around?, CWPE1640 (2016)
Onatski, A. and Wang, C. Alternative Asymptotics for Cointegration Tests in Large VARs, CWPE1637 (2016)
Chen, X., Linton, O. and Schneeberger, S. Simple Nonparametric Estimators for the Bid-Ask Spread in the Roll Model, CWPE1620 (2016)
Chudik, A., Kapetanios, G. and Pesaran, M. H. Big Data Analytics: A New Perspective, CWPE1611 (2016)
Escanciano, J. C., Hoderlein, S., Lewbel, A. and Linton, O. Nonparametric Euler Equation Identification and Estimation, CWPE1560 (2015)
Hong, S. Y., Linton, O. and Zhang, H. J. An investigation into Multivariate Variance Ratio Statistics and their application to Stock Market Predictability, CWPE1552 (2015)
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H. and Raissi, M. Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?, CWPE1520 (2015)
Harvey, A. C. and Lange, R.-J. Modeling the Interactions between Volatility and Returns, CWPE1518 (2015)
Harvey, A. C. and Lange, R.-J. Volatility Modeling with a Generalized t-distribution, CWPE1517 (2015)
Mohaddes, K. and Pesaran, M. Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis, CWPE1516 (2015)
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H. and Raissi, M. Long-Run Effects in Large Heterogenous Panel Data Models with Cross-Sectionally Correlated Errors, CWPE1501 (2015)
Hong, S. Y., Linton, O. and Zhang , H. J. Multivariate Variance Ratio Statistics, CWPE1459 (2014)
Körber, L., Linton, O. and Vogt, M. The Effect of Fragmentation in Trading on Market Quality in the UK Equity Market, CWPE1454 (2014)
Han, H., Linton, O., Oka, T. and Whang, Y.-J. The Cross-Quantilogram: Measuring Quantile Dependence and Testing Directional Predictability between Time Series, CWPE1452 (2014)
Harvey, A. C. and Thiele, S. Testing against Changing Correlation, CWPE1439 (2014)
Pesaran, H. and Smith, R. Tests of Policy Ineffectiveness in Macroeconometrics, CWPE1415 (2014)
Bailey , N., Smith, V. and Pesaran, H. A multiple testing approach to the regularisation of large sample correlation matrices, CWPE1413 (2014)
Hayakawa, K., Smith, V. and Pesaran, H. Transformed Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Short Dynamic Panel Data Models with interactive effects, CWPE1412 (2014)
Iyer, S., Velu, C. and Weeks, M. Divine Competition: Religious Organisations and Service Provision in India, CWPE1409 (2014)
Chudik, A. and Pesaran, H. Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling, CWPE1408 (2014)
Pesaran, H., Cesa-Bianchi, A. and Rebucci, A. Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective, CWPE1407 (2014)
Bailey, N., Holly, S. and Pesaran, H. A Two Stage Approach to Spatiotemporal Analysis with Strong and weak cross Sectional Dependence , CWPE1362 (2013)
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H. and Raissi, M. Debt, Inflation and Growth: Robust Estimation of Long-Run Effects in Dynamic Panel Data Models, CWPE1350 (2013)
Caivano, M. and Harvey, A. C. Two EGARCH models and one fat tail, CWPE1326 (2013)
Caivano, M. and Harvey, A. C. Time series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution, CWPE1325 (2013)
Robertson, D. and Sarafidis, V. IV Estimation of Panels with Factor Residuals , CWPE1321 (2013)
Pesaran, H. and Chudik, A. Common Correlated Effects Estimation of Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Data Models with Weakly Exogenous Regressors, CWPE1317 (2013)
Mohaddes, K. and Pesaran, M. One Hundred Years of Oil Income and the Iranian Economy: A curse or a Blessing, CWPE1302 (2013)
Andres, P. and Harvey, A. C. The Dyanamic Location/Scale Model: with applications to intra-day financial data, CWPE1240 (2012)
Harvey, A. C. and Sucarrat, G. EGARCH models with fat tails, skewness and leverage, CWPE1236 (2012)
Hayakawa, K. and Pesaran, M. Robust Standard Errors in Transformed Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Panel Models, CWPE1224 (2012)
Esfahani, H., Mohaddes, K. and Pesaran, M. H. An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters, CWPE1215 (2012)
Pesaran, M. and Yamagata, T. Testing CAPM with a Large Number of Assets (Updated 28th March 2012), CWPE1210 (2012)
Pesaran, M. H. Testing Weak Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels, CWPE1208 (2012)
Bailey, N., Kapetanios, G. and Pesaran, M. H. Exponent of Cross-sectional Dependence: Estimation and Inference, CWPE1206 (2012)
Pesaran, M. H., Pick, A. and Pranovich, M. Optimal Forecasts in the Presence of Structural Breaks (Updated 14 November 2011), CWPE1163 (2011)
Pesaran, M. H. and Xu, T. Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults, CWPE1159 (2011)
Cesa-Bianchi, A., Pesaran, M., Rebuccih, . A. and Xu, T. China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America, CWPE1150 (2011)
Pesaran, M. and Smith, R. P. Beyond the DSGE straightjacket, CWPE1138 (2011)
Koop, G., Pesaran, M. H. and Smith, R. P. On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models, CWPE1131 (2011)
Winkelried, D. and Smith, R. J. Principal Components Instrumental Variable Estimation, CWPE1119 (2011)
Pesaran, M. H. and Chudik, A. Aggregation in Large Dynamic Panels, CWPE1118 (2011)
Doppelhofer, G. and Weeks, M. Robust Growth Determinants, CWPE1117 (2011)
Corrado, L. and Weeks, M. Tests for Convergence Clubs, CWPE1110 (2011)
Harvey, A. C. Exponential Conditional Volatility Models, CWPE1040 (2010)
Pesaran, M. H. Predictability of Asset Returns and the Efficient Market Hypothesis, CWPE1033 (2010)
Corrado, L. and Weeks, M. Identification Strategies in Survey Response Using Vignettes, CWPE1031 (2010)
Pesaran , M. H. Conditional Volatility and Correlations of Weekly Returns and the VaR Analysis of 2008 Stock Market, CWPE1025 (2010)
Pesaran , M. H. and Chudik, A. Econometric Analysis of High Dimensional VARs Featuring a Dominant Unit, CWPE1024 (2010)
Iyer, S. and Weeks, M. Social Interactions, Ethnicity and Fertility in Kenya, CWPE0903 (2009)

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Recent Publications

Ding, Y. A Simple Joint Model for Returns, Volatility and Volatility of Volatility Journal of Econometrics [2023]

Bhattacharya, D. Nonparametric Approaches to Empirical Welfare Analysis Journal of Economic Literature, forthcoming [2023]

Harvey, A. C. and Liao, Y. Dynamic Tobit Models Econometrics and Statistics [2023]

Selected CWPE


Auditing the Auditors: An evaluation of the REF2021 Output Results, Linton, O. B., Xu, E.


Dynamic Autoregressive Liquidity (DArLiQ), Hafner, C. M., Linton, O. B. and Wang, L.


Reflections on "Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels", Im, K S., Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y.