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Cambridge Working Papers in Economics

Ma, S., Linton, O. and Gao, J. Estimation and Inference in Semiparametric Quantile Factor Models, CWPErem (2019)
Chudik, A., Pesaran, M. H., Rebucci, A. Social Distancing, Vaccination and Evolution of COVID-19 Transmission Rates in Europe, CWPE2230 (2022)
Gao, Z., Pesaran, M. H. Identification and Estimation of Categorical Random Coeficient Models, CWPE2228 (2022)
Cun, W., Pesaran, M. H. A Spatiotemporal Equilibrium Model of Migration and Housing Interlinkages, CWPE2225 (2022)
Nocera, A., Pesaran, M. H. Causal effects of the Fed's large-scale asset purchases on firms' capital structure, CWPE2224 (2022)
Pesaran, M. H., Pick, A., Timmermann, A. Forecasting with panel data: estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity, CWPE2219 (2022)
Bu, R., Li, D., Linton, O., Wang, H. Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data, CWPE2218 (2022)
Chudik, A., Pesaran, M. H. and Smith, R. P. Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis, CWPE2215 (2022)
Hafner, C. M., Linton, O. B. and Wang, L. Dynamic Autoregressive Liquidity (DArLiQ), CWPE2214 (2022)
Mohaddes, K., Ng, R. N. C., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Yang, J-C. Climate Change and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States, CWPE2205 (2022)
Menkveld, A., Dreber, A., Holzmeister, F., Huber, J., Johannesson, M., Kirchler, M., Neusüss, S., Razen, M., Weitzel, U., Linton, O. Non-Standard Errors, CWPE2182 (2021)
Ding, Y. Conditional Heteroskedasticity in the Volatility of Asset Returns, CWPE2179 (2021)
Pesaran, M. H. and Xie, Y. A Bias-Corrected CD Test for Error Cross-Sectional Dependence in Panel Data Models with Latent Factors, CWPE2158 (2021)
Laudati, D. and Pesaran, M. H. Identifying the Effects of Sanctions on the Iranian Economy using Newspaper Coverage, CWPE2155 (2021)
Li, Y-N., Chen, J. and Linton, O. Estimation of Common Factors for Microstructure Noise and Efficient Price in a High-frequency Dual Factor Model, CWPE2150 (2021)
Chung, D., Linton, O. and Whang Y-J. Consistent Testing for an Implication of Supermodular Dominance, CWPE2134 (2021)
Harvey, A. Score-Driven Time Series Models, CWPE2133 (2021)
Harvey, A. and Palumbo, D. Regime Switching Models for Directional and Linear Observations, CWPE2123 (2021)
Li, M. Z. and Linton, O. Robust Estimation of Integrated Volatility, CWPE2115 (2021)
Harvey, A. C. Time Series Modeling of Epidemics: Leading Indicators, Control Groups and Policy Assessment, CWPE2114 (2021)
Huang, W., Linton, O., Zhang, Z. A Unified Framework for Specification Tests of Continuous Treatment Effect Models, CWPE2113 (2021)
Ding, Y. Augmented Real-Time GARCH: A Joint Model for Returns, Volatility and Volatility of Volatility, CWPE2112 (2021)
Palumbo, D. Testing and Modelling Time Series with Time Varying Tails, CWPE2111 (2021)
Ahmed, R. and Pesaran, M. H. Regional Heterogeneity and U.S. Presidential Elections, CWPE2092 (2020)
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Rebucci, A. A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model, CWPE2088 (2020)
Dong, C., Gao, J., Linton, O., Peng, B. On Time Trend of COVID-19: A Panel Data Study, CWPE2065 (2020)
Escanciano, J C., Hoderlein, S., Lewbel, A., Linton, O., Srisuma, S. Nonparametric Euler Equation Identification and Estimation, CWPE2064 (2020)
Ge, S., Li, S. and Linton, O. A Dynamic Network of Arbitrage Characteristics, CWPE2060 (2020)
Linton, O. and Tang, H. Estimation of the Kronecker Covariance Model by Quadratic Form, CWPE2050 (2020)
Jochmans, K. Heteroskedasticity-Robust Inference in Linear Regression Models with Many Covariates, CWPE2033 (2020)
Li, S. and Linton, O. When will the Covid-19 pandemic peak?, CWPE2025 (2020)
Jochmans, K. Testing Random Assignment to Peer Groups, CWPE2024 (2020)
Anderson, G., Linton, O., Pittau, M G., Whang, Y-J., Zelli, R. On Unit Free Assessment of The Extent of Multilateral Distributional Variation, CWPE20123 (2020)
Lee, K., Linton, O., Whang, Y-J. Testing for Time Stochastic Dominance, CWPE20121 (2020)
Ding, Y. Diffusion Limits of Real-Time GARCH, CWPE20112 (2020)
Wu, R. and Weeks, M. A Semi-Parametric Bayesian Generalized Least Square Estimator, CWPE2011 (2020)
Connor, G., Li, S., Linton, O. A Dynamic Semiparametric Characteristics-based Model for Optimal Portfolio Selection, CWPE20103 (2020)
Pesaran, M. H. and Yang, C. F. Matching Theory and Evidence on Covid-19 using a Stochastic Network SIR Model, CWPE20102 (2020)
Christiansen, T. and Weeks, M. Distributional Aspects of Microcredit Expansions, CWPE20100 (2020)
Linton, O., Seo, M., Whang, Y-J. Testing Stochastic Dominance with Many Conditioning Variables, CWPE2004 (2020)
Onatski, A. and Wang, C. Spurious Factor Analysis, CWPE2003 (2020)
Jochmans, K., Verardi, V. Instrumental-Variable Estimation of Gravity Equations, CWPE1994 (2019)
Jochmans, K. Testing for Correlation in Error-Component Models, CWPE1993 (2019)
Harvey, A. C., Hurn, S., Thiele, S. Modeling directional (circular) time series, CWPE1971 (2019)
Kahn, M. E., Mohaddes, K., Ng, R. N. C., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Yang, J-C. Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis, CWPE1965 (2019)
Dhaene, G., Jochmans, K. Profile-Score Adjustments for Incidental-Parameter Problems, CWPE1959 (2019)
Jochmans, K. Modified-Likelihood Estimation of Fixed-Effect Models for Dyadic Data, CWPE1958 (2019)
Jochmans, K. Heteroskedasticity-Robust Inference in Linear Regression Models, CWPE1957 (2019)
Harvey, A. C. and Palumbo, D. Score-Driven Models for Realized Volatility, CWPE1950 (2019)
Jochmans, K. and Weidner, M. Inference on a distribution from noisy draws, CWPE1946 (2019)
Jochmans, K. and Verardi, V. twexp and twgravity: Estimating exponential regression models with two-way fixed effects, CWPE1945 (2019)
Jochmans, K. and Verardi, V. xtserialpm: A portmanteau test for serial correlation in a linear panel model, CWPE1944 (2019)
Jochmans, K. and Weidner, M. Fixed-Effect Regressions on Network Data, CWPE1938 (2019)
Boneva, L., Elliott, D., Kaminska, I., Linton, O., McLaren, N. and Morley, B. The Impact of Corporate QE on Liquidity: Evidence from the UK, CWPE1937 (2019)
Lee, L., Linton, O., Whang, Y-J. Quantilograms under Strong Dependence, CWPE1936 (2019)
Ai, C., Linton, O., Motegi, K., Zhang, Z. A Unified Framework for Efficient Estimation of General Treatment Models, CWPE1934 (2019)
Ma, S., Linton, O., Gao, J. Estimation and Inference in Semiparametric Quantile Factor Models, CWPE1933 (2019)
Cheng, T., Gao, J., Linton, O. Nonparametric Predictive Regressions for Stock Return Prediction, CWPE1932 (2019)
Koo, B., La Vecchia, D., Linton, O. Nonparametric Recovery of the Yield Curve Evolution from Cross-Section and Time Series Information, CWPE1916 (2019)
Harvey, A. C., Liao, Y. Dynamic Tobit models, CWPE1913 (2019)
Jochmans, K. Testing for Correlation in Error-Component Models, CWPE1910 (2019)
Merrick Li, Z. and Linton, O. A ReMeDI for Microstructure Noise, CWPE1908 (2019)
Linton, O., Xiao, Z. Efficient Estimation of Nonparametric Regression in The Presence of Dynamic Heteroskedasticity, CWPE1907 (2019)
Linton, O., Shiu, J-L. Semiparametric Nonlinear Panel Data Models with Measurement Error, CWPE1906 (2019)
Jochmans, K., Otsu, T. Likelihood Corrections for Two-way Models, CWPE1887 (2018)
Jochmans, K. A Portmanteau Test for Correlation in Short Panels, CWPE1886 (2018)
Bhattacharya, D., Dupas, P., Kanaya, S. Demand and Welfare Analysis in Discrete Choice Models under Social Interactions, CWPE1885 (2018)
Bhattacharya, D. Income Effects and Rationalizability in Multinomial Choice Models, CWPE1884 (2018)
Bhattacharya, D. The Empirical Content of Binary Choice Models, CWPE1883 (2018)
Lee, Y-Y., Bhattacharya, D. Applied Welfare Analysis for Discrete Choice with Interval-data on Income, CWPE1882 (2018)
Dong, C., Gao, J., Linton, O. High Dimensional Semiparametric Moment Restriction Models, CWPE1881 (2018)
Linton, O., Whang, Y-J., Yen, Y. The Lower Regression Function and Testing Expectation Dependence Dominance Hypotheses, CWPE1880 (2018)
Linton, O. and Wu, J. A Coupled Component GARCH Model for Intraday and Overnight Volatility, CWPE1879 (2018)
Hafner, C., Linton, O., Tang, H. Estimation of a Multiplicative Correlation Structure in the Large Dimensional Case , CWPE1878 (2018)
Hong, S-Y., Linton, O. Nonparametric estimation of infinite order regression and its application to the risk-return tradeoff, CWPE1877 (2018)
Chen, J., Li, D., Linton, O. A New Semiparametric Estimation Approach for Large Dynamic Covariance Matrices with Multiple Conditioning Variables, CWPE1876 (2018)
Chudik, A.,Pesaran, H., Mohaddes, K. Identifying Global and National Output and Fiscal Policy Shocks Using a GVAR, CWPE1874 (2018)
Corrado, L., Stengos, T., Weeks, M., Ege Yazgan, M. Robust Tests for Convergence Clubs, CWPE1873 (2018)
O'Neill, E., Weeks, M. Causal Tree Estimation of Heterogeneous Household Response to Time-Of-Use Electricity Pricing Schemes, CWPE1865 (2018)
Onatski, A. Asymptotics of the principal components estimator of large factor models with weak factors and i.i.d. Gaussian noise., CWPE1808 (2018)
Dharmawansa, P., Johnstone, I. M., and Onatski, A. Local Asymptotic Normality of the Spectrum of High-Dimensional Spiked F-Ratios, CWPE1807 (2018)
Johnstone, I. M. and Onatski, A. Testing in High-Dimensional Spiked Models, CWPE1806 (2018)
Onatski, A. and Wang, C. Extreme canonical correlations and high-dimensional cointegration analysis, CWPE1805 (2018)
Linton, O. and Mahmoodzadeh, S. Implications of High-Frequency Trading for Security Markets, CWPE1802 (2018)
Kanaya, S., Bhattacharya, D. Uniform Convergence of Smoothed Distribution Functions with an Application to Delta Method for the Lorenz Curve, CWPE1760 (2017)
Auld, T. and Linton, O. The Behaviour of Betting and Currency Markets on the Night of the EU Referendum, CWPE1750 (2017)
Harvey, A. C. and Thiele, S. Co-integration and Control: Assessing the Impact of Events Using Time Series Data, CWPE1731 (2017)
Boneva, L. and Linton, O. A Discrete Choice Model For Large Heterogeneous Panels with Interactive Fixed Effects with an Application to the Determinants of Corporate Bond Issuance, CWPE1703 (2017)
Doppelhofer, G., Moe Hansen, O-P. and and Weeks, M. Determinants of long-term economic growth redux: A Measurement Error Model Averaging (MEMA) approach, CWPE1702 (2017)
Pesaran, Hashem. and Johnsson. Ida. Double-question Survey Measures for the Analysis of Financial Bubbles and Crashes, CWPE1679 (2016)
Pesaran, H. and Yang, C. F. Econometric Analysis of Production Networks with Dominant Units , CWPE1678 (2016)
Chudik, A., and Kapetanios, G. and Pesaran, Hashem A One-Covariate at a Time, Multiple Testing Approach to Variable Selection in High-Dimensional Linear Regression Models, CWPE1677 (2016)
Robertson, D. and Tambakis, D. Long-Run Debt Ratios with Fiscal Fatigue, CWPE1674 (2016)
Linton, O. and Wu, J. A coupled component GARCH model for intraday and overnight volatility, CWPE1671 (2016)
Hafner, C. M. and Linton, O. Estimation of a Multiplicative Covariance Structure in the Large Dimensional Case, CWPE1664 (2016)
Mohaddes, K. and Pesaran, M. H. Oil Prices and the Global Economy: Is It Different This Time Around?, CWPE1640 (2016)
Onatski, A. and Wang, C. Alternative Asymptotics for Cointegration Tests in Large VARs, CWPE1637 (2016)
Chen, X., Linton, O. and Schneeberger, S. Simple Nonparametric Estimators for the Bid-Ask Spread in the Roll Model, CWPE1620 (2016)
Chudik, A., Kapetanios, G. and Pesaran, M. H. Big Data Analytics: A New Perspective, CWPE1611 (2016)
Escanciano, J. C., Hoderlein, S., Lewbel, A. and Linton, O. Nonparametric Euler Equation Identification and Estimation, CWPE1560 (2015)
Hong, S. Y., Linton, O. and Zhang, H. J. An investigation into Multivariate Variance Ratio Statistics and their application to Stock Market Predictability, CWPE1552 (2015)
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H. and Raissi, M. Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?, CWPE1520 (2015)
Harvey, A. C. and Lange, R.-J. Modeling the Interactions between Volatility and Returns, CWPE1518 (2015)
Harvey, A. C. and Lange, R.-J. Volatility Modeling with a Generalized t-distribution, CWPE1517 (2015)
Mohaddes, K. and Pesaran, M. Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis, CWPE1516 (2015)
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H. and Raissi, M. Long-Run Effects in Large Heterogenous Panel Data Models with Cross-Sectionally Correlated Errors, CWPE1501 (2015)
Hong, S. Y., Linton, O. and Zhang , H. J. Multivariate Variance Ratio Statistics, CWPE1459 (2014)
Körber, L., Linton, O. and Vogt, M. The Effect of Fragmentation in Trading on Market Quality in the UK Equity Market, CWPE1454 (2014)
Han, H., Linton, O., Oka, T. and Whang, Y.-J. The Cross-Quantilogram: Measuring Quantile Dependence and Testing Directional Predictability between Time Series, CWPE1452 (2014)
Harvey, A. C. and Thiele, S. Testing against Changing Correlation, CWPE1439 (2014)
Pesaran, H. and Smith, R. Tests of Policy Ineffectiveness in Macroeconometrics, CWPE1415 (2014)
Bailey , N., Smith, V. and Pesaran, H. A multiple testing approach to the regularisation of large sample correlation matrices, CWPE1413 (2014)
Hayakawa, K., Smith, V. and Pesaran, H. Transformed Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Short Dynamic Panel Data Models with interactive effects, CWPE1412 (2014)
Iyer, S., Velu, C. and Weeks, M. Divine Competition: Religious Organisations and Service Provision in India, CWPE1409 (2014)
Chudik, A. and Pesaran, H. Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling, CWPE1408 (2014)
Pesaran, H., Cesa-Bianchi, A. and Rebucci, A. Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective, CWPE1407 (2014)
Bailey, N., Holly, S. and Pesaran, H. A Two Stage Approach to Spatiotemporal Analysis with Strong and weak cross Sectional Dependence , CWPE1362 (2013)
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H. and Raissi, M. Debt, Inflation and Growth: Robust Estimation of Long-Run Effects in Dynamic Panel Data Models, CWPE1350 (2013)
Caivano, M. and Harvey, A. C. Two EGARCH models and one fat tail, CWPE1326 (2013)
Caivano, M. and Harvey, A. C. Time series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution, CWPE1325 (2013)
Robertson, D. and Sarafidis, V. IV Estimation of Panels with Factor Residuals , CWPE1321 (2013)
Pesaran, H. and Chudik, A. Common Correlated Effects Estimation of Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Data Models with Weakly Exogenous Regressors, CWPE1317 (2013)
Mohaddes, K. and Pesaran, M. One Hundred Years of Oil Income and the Iranian Economy: A curse or a Blessing, CWPE1302 (2013)
Andres, P. and Harvey, A. C. The Dyanamic Location/Scale Model: with applications to intra-day financial data, CWPE1240 (2012)
Harvey, A. C. and Sucarrat, G. EGARCH models with fat tails, skewness and leverage, CWPE1236 (2012)
Hayakawa, K. and Pesaran, M. Robust Standard Errors in Transformed Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Panel Models, CWPE1224 (2012)
Esfahani, H., Mohaddes, K. and Pesaran, M. H. An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters, CWPE1215 (2012)
Pesaran, M. and Yamagata, T. Testing CAPM with a Large Number of Assets (Updated 28th March 2012), CWPE1210 (2012)
Pesaran, M. H. Testing Weak Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels, CWPE1208 (2012)
Bailey, N., Kapetanios, G. and Pesaran, M. H. Exponent of Cross-sectional Dependence: Estimation and Inference, CWPE1206 (2012)
Pesaran, M. H., Pick, A. and Pranovich, M. Optimal Forecasts in the Presence of Structural Breaks (Updated 14 November 2011), CWPE1163 (2011)
Pesaran, M. H. and Xu, T. Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults, CWPE1159 (2011)
Cesa-Bianchi, A., Pesaran, M., Rebuccih, . A. and Xu, T. China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America, CWPE1150 (2011)
Pesaran, M. and Smith, R. P. Beyond the DSGE straightjacket, CWPE1138 (2011)
Koop, G., Pesaran, M. H. and Smith, R. P. On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models, CWPE1131 (2011)
Winkelried, D. and Smith, R. J. Principal Components Instrumental Variable Estimation, CWPE1119 (2011)
Pesaran, M. H. and Chudik, A. Aggregation in Large Dynamic Panels, CWPE1118 (2011)
Doppelhofer, G. and Weeks, M. Robust Growth Determinants, CWPE1117 (2011)
Corrado, L. and Weeks, M. Tests for Convergence Clubs, CWPE1110 (2011)
Harvey, A. C. Exponential Conditional Volatility Models, CWPE1040 (2010)
Pesaran, M. H. Predictability of Asset Returns and the Efficient Market Hypothesis, CWPE1033 (2010)
Corrado, L. and Weeks, M. Identification Strategies in Survey Response Using Vignettes, CWPE1031 (2010)
Pesaran , M. H. Conditional Volatility and Correlations of Weekly Returns and the VaR Analysis of 2008 Stock Market, CWPE1025 (2010)
Pesaran , M. H. and Chudik, A. Econometric Analysis of High Dimensional VARs Featuring a Dominant Unit, CWPE1024 (2010)
Iyer, S. and Weeks, M. Social Interactions, Ethnicity and Fertility in Kenya, CWPE0903 (2009)

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Econometrics Research Group




Ivan Canay
(Northwestern)
"On the use of outcome tests to detect bias in decision making"
Sunday 29th May 2022 12:49am
Zoom (Econometrics)
Michael Vogt
(University of Ulm)
"tbc"
Sunday 29th May 2022 12:49am
Hybrid Meade (Econometrics)



Faculty Events


24 Jun

SoFiE 2022 Annual Conference
Churchill College, University of Cambridge



Recent Publications


Ding, Y. A Simple Joint Model for Returns, Volatility and Volatility of Volatility Journal of Econometrics, forthcoming [2022]

Onatski, A. and Wang, C. Spectral Distribution of the Sample Covariance of High-Dimensional Time Series With Unit Roots Statistica Sinica, forthcoming [2021]

Bhattacharya, D. The Empirical Content of Binary Choice Models Econometrica [2021]



Selected CWPE


19
32

Nonparametric Predictive Regressions for Stock Return Prediction, Cheng, T., Gao, J., Linton, O.

19
37

The Impact of Corporate QE on Liquidity: Evidence from the UK, Boneva, L., Elliott, D., Kaminska, I., Linton, O., McLaren, N. and Morley, B.

19
44

xtserialpm: A portmanteau test for serial correlation in a linear panel model, Jochmans, K. and Verardi, V.