Matching Theory and Evidence on Covid-19 using a Stochastic Network SIR Model
Pesaran, M. H. and Yang, C. F. (CWPE20102)
Keywords: Covid-19, multigroup SIR model, basic and effective reproduction numbers, rolling window estimates of the transmission rate, method of moments, calibration and counterfactual analysis
JEL Codes: C13 C15 C31 D85 I18 J18
A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Rebucci, A. (CWPE2088)
Keywords: Threshold-augmented Global VAR (TGVAR), international business cycle, Covid-19, global volatility, threshold effects
JEL Codes: C32 E44 F44