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Keyword: Heterogeneity

Tight Race in US Election 2020 Forecast
Economics News | Published on Friday, 23 October, 2020

Regional heterogeneity, short economic memory and the Covid-19 effect A new method of forecasting the US presidential race appears to show the Democrats will win the popular vote.

The U.S. Presidential election of 2016 caught many by surprise. Almost all polls and pundits predicted a Democratic victory but, Donald Trump won the overwhelming majority of electoral votes (304 out of 538), whilst losing the popular vote by as much as 2.9 million. This misalignment has occurred only four times out of 48 elections held since 1828.

Keywords: HeterogeneityUSUS ElectionCOVID-19
The Heterogeneous Transmission of ECB Policies in a Post-COVID Europe
Media Mentions & Appearances | Published on Friday, 7 August, 2020

Professor Giancarlo Corsetti, Joao B Duarte (Nova School of Business and Economics) and Samuel Mann (IMF) have published an article for VOXeu titled "

Keywords: EuropeHeterogeneityCOVID-19Policy

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