The new model for forecasting conflict, which predicts outbreaks of violence and subsequent escalations into armed conflict has been developed with funding by the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO).
Dr. Christopher Rauh spoke to the NOVAFRICA Sustainable Development Talks series about his research into conflict prediction.
Forecasting when an armed conflict is likely to break out is notoriously difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low-level dispute.
La Vanguardia newspaper has published an article that reports on Dr. Christopher Rauh's new model for forecasting conflict.
Forecasting a phenomenon like armed conflict up to a year in advance is difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low level dispute.